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Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook Points
Player Prop - 1/12/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Russell Westbrook Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Russell Westbrook has converted 63.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 15.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
  • Russell Westbrook has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
  • The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Russell Westbrook has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a difficult matchup.
  • Russell Westbrook has sunk just 57.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 67.0 mark last year.
  • Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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