Rudy Gay Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Rudy Gay

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gay

F-G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 9:36 PM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gay Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gay has attempted 7.2 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Rudy Gay has been called for 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (24th percentile).
The Utah Jazz have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Utah Jazz have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; their opposition have put up the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (37.0%).
The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Jazz.
This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted an enormous 30.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the league).

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