RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2025

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Portland Trail Blazers · Apr 3, 2025

Updated Apr 4, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 17.0 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to more opportunities for the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank best in in the NBA with 15.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
With respect to scoring, the Toronto Raptors's lackluster 109.8 points per game rates 5th-lowest in the league over the last 25 games.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have logged 12.1 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, marking this as a tough matchup for offensive output.
In contrast to last year's 70.7% mark, RJ Barrett's foul-shot prowess has decreased this year to 60.9%.
The matchup vs. Portland is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game this year when the Trail Blazers are on the road (4th-least in the NBA).

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