RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, RJ Barrett registers in the 94th percentile for shots, totaling 17.0 per game this year.
RJ Barrett has played 32.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The matchup against San Antonio is a strong one for shots from the field; when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled the 2nd-highest FG% in the league this year (54.7%).
The Raptors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-fastest tempo away team in the league over the last 15 games (the Spurs).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, RJ Barrett ranks in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.3 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
RJ Barrett has converted just 61.7% of his free throws this season, a sizeable decrease from his 70.7 mark last season.

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