RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2025

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards · Mar 8, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 5:00 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has made 8.1 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
RJ Barrett has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.
The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a favorable one; they have allowed the 7th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (15.7).
The Toronto Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have attempted 4.2 free throws per game (7th-most in the league) against the Washington Wizards, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The 6th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Raptors.
The Wizards have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to reduce plays for the Raptors.
Relative to last year's 70.7% mark, RJ Barrett's free-throw proficiency has fallen this year to 61.6%.

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