RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 12:50 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 15.2 rate, RJ Barrett's shots have jumped this year to 18.7 per game.
Relative to last season's 4.3 rate, RJ Barrett's shot attempts from downtown have spiked this season to 5.6 per game.
RJ Barrett has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the fastest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Favors Under

The Raptors rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have tallied 9.9 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.
RJ Barrett will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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