RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has converted 53.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 6.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
RJ Barrett has averaged 30.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The 10th-fastest tempo away team in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Toronto Raptors.
The Raptors rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.9).
Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has collected 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Pacers (preserving possessions that can spark more chances for offense).
RJ Barrett has successfully made 57.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 16.4% lower than he's sunk in all games this season.

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