RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 10:07 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to his full-season rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) points per home game, RJ Barrett's point-scoring has jumped by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games on his home court.
RJ Barrett has sunk 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
Among all players in the league, RJ Barrett measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 33.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 12.9 shot attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, branding this as a positive matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the New York Knicks rank 13thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.1 fouls per game last season.
The New York Knicks check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Celtics).
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.8 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).