RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 15, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has attempted 16.1 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
RJ Barrett has attempted 5.4 three-point shots per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.
RJ Barrett has averaged 32.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The New York Knicks have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a challenging one for threes; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 13th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.6).
The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.
RJ Barrett will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production across the board.

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