RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 7:41 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has sunk 49.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 6.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
RJ Barrett has sunk 42.9% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.0% higher than he's made from three in all games this year at home.
RJ Barrett has averaged 33.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 91st percentile.
The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs over the last 10 games (21.1).
The New York Knicks have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.