RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has posted 28.2 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.0 more than he's posted in all games this year at home.
RJ Barrett has attempted 21.6 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 3.9 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.
RJ Barrett has attempted 6.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
RJ Barrett has been on the court for 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.5 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home.
The New York Knicks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Cavaliers is a hard one for three-pointers; the other team have totaled the 7th-least shots from downtown per game in the league over the last 15 games (13.5).
The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Cavaliers.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a challenging one; they have allowed the 7th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs since the start of last season (17.0).
The matchup against the Cavaliers may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games while playing away from home (5th-least in the NBA).