RJ Barrett Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has averaged 29.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 6thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
While playing at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.
RJ Barrett will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance across the board.

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