RJ Barrett Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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RJ Barrett

NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Assists

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+129/-179).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +139 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Knicks.
The Knicks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Orlando Magic).
The Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has averaged a measly 29.2 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 34.0 minutes per game last season.
RJ Barrett has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
RJ Barrett figures to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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