RJ Barrett Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · New York Knicks

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 2.4 mark, RJ Barrett's personal fouls per game have dropped this year to 1.6.
The Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has snagged 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has tallied just 28.8 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 33.4 minutes per game last year.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Knicks.
RJ Barrett stands to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.