Ricky Rubio Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

NBA · Player Props

Ricky Rubio

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Ricky Rubio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a good one for shots from the field; when the Magic are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 30th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (48.4%).
The Magic have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should increase possessions for the Cavaliers.
At home, the Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Orlando may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Magic are on their home court (24th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Ricky Rubio has converted just 1.8 shots made from the field per game this year, significantly lower than his 4.4 rate last year.
Ricky Rubio has converted a measly 23.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, quite a bit lower than his 33.3 rate last season.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ricky Rubio will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all stat categories.