Ricky Rubio Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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Ricky Rubio

NBA · Player Props

Ricky Rubio

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Ricky Rubio Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ricky Rubio has tallied 8.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ricky Rubio has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (82nd percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.
Ricky Rubio will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually reduces player production in all stat categories.

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