Reggie Bullock Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

Reggie Bullock

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 1, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 2:46 PM EST

Analysis

Reggie Bullock Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Reggie Bullock has sunk 2.0 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.
Reggie Bullock has averaged 30.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
The matchup against Miami is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Heat are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 24th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.8 foul shots per game this year when the Heat are on their home court (10th-least in the NBA).
Reggie Bullock will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.