Reggie Bullock Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Reggie Bullock

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Reggie Bullock Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Reggie Bullock has successfully made 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
Reggie Bullock has tallied 38.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 8.9 more than he's tallied overall this year on the road.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a good one for field goals; when the Spurs are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 26th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (50.4%).
The Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should increase possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Reggie Bullock has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games away from his home court, 0.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Reggie Bullock will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers stat production for all stats.