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P.J. Washington

P.J. Washington Points
Player Prop - 4/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

P.J. Washington Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

P.J. Washington has successfully made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year.

P.J. Washington has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.

In terms of scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 120.5 points per game away from home measures as the strongest in the NBA over the last 15 games.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington measures in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year.

The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

The Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

P.J. Washington has converted just 63.7% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit lower than his 73.9 rate last season.

The matchup against the Heat may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

More P.J. Washington Player Props

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