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P.J. Washington

P.J. Washington Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
P.J. Washington Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • P.J. Washington has tallied 29.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 80th percentile.
  • With respect to shooting, the Mavericks's impressive 121.2 points per game measures as the strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The matchup against Denver is a good one for threes; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have posted the 5th-highest three rate in the league this year (44.8%).
  • The 3rd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • P.J. Washington will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last season's 13.4 clip, P.J. Washington's shots from the field have been reduced this season to 11.1 per game.
  • The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
  • P.J. Washington has made a measly 64.1% of his free throw attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 73.9 rate last season.
  • The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).

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