P.J. Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2024

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P.J. Tucker

NBA · Player Props

P.J. Tucker

F · LA Clippers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · May 3, 2024

Updated May 4, 2024 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

P.J. Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The Clippers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last season's 76.9% rate, P.J. Tucker's free-throw proficiency has increased this season to 100.0%.

Favors Under

P.J. Tucker has made a measly 31.0% of his field goal attempts this season, a sizeable decrease from his 42.9 rate last season.
In contrast to last year's 25.7 clip, P.J. Tucker's playing time has tailed off this year to 15.5 minutes per game.
With respect to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league as the away team over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.
The 3rd-slowest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.
The Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

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