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Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the league, Peyton Watson comes in at the 83rd percentile for getting to the foul line, totaling a whopping 3.8 free throws per game playing at home this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Peyton Watson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Peyton Watson has made 12.5% of his 3-point shots with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile out of all players in the league.

The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a challenging one; when the Thunder are on the road, they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (11.0).

In regard to getting to the free-throw line, the Nuggets's feeble 20.1 free throw attempts per game comes in as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

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