Peyton Watson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

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Peyton Watson

NBA · Player Props

Peyton Watson

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Peyton Watson has successfully made 60.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 13 games at home, 29.0% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while on his home court.
Peyton Watson has tallied 24.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets.
The Nuggets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last year's 45.7% mark, Peyton Watson's foul-shot prowess has spiked this year to 60.9%.

Favors Under

In terms of three-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.

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