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Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Peyton Watson has successfully made 60.0% of his treys over the last 13 games at home, 24.0% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year playing at home.

As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's outstanding 50.6% field goal rate at home measures as the 3rd-highest in the league this year.

Over the last 5 games, their opposition has notched 100.8 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, marking this as a tough matchup for offensive performance.

Peyton Watson has made a terrific 62.3% of his free throws this year, a significant increase from his 45.7 mark last year.

The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted just 18.5 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.

The Nuggets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, opposing clubs have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics (preserving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).

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