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Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+112/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Peyton Watson has sunk 60.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 13 games at home, 22.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while at home.

The matchup against the Suns is a challenging one for 3-pointers; the other team has compiled the 5th-lowest three percentage in the league over the last 15 games (34.4%).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should raise opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Peyton Watson has successfully made an impressive 62.3% of his foul shots this season, significantly higher than his 45.7 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

The Suns have allowed the most offensive boards per game (12.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Nuggets's lackluster 20.3 free throws per game measures as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

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