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Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Peyton Watson has successfully made 60.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 13 games at home, 25.1% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season at home.

Peyton Watson has been on the court for 23.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year.

The Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.

The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have posted the highest three rate in the league this year (39.5%).

The slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted an enormous 26.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

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