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Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Peyton Watson has sunk 60.0% of his three-point shots over the last 13 games at home, 26.9% more than he's converted over the course of the year while at home.

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a challenging one for three-point shots; the other team has put up the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (33.8%).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5thbest in in the league with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

In comparison to last season's 45.7% mark, Peyton Watson's free-throw proficiency has increased this season to 63.5%.

Peyton Watson will likely see a spike in productivity in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Peyton Watson has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has secured 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers (lengthening possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).

In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Nuggets's poor 20.9 free throw attempts per game ranks 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

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