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Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Peyton Watson has sunk 47.2% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 18.5% more than he's made in all games this season.

This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the other team has shot for the 6th-lowest three rate in the league over the last 10 games at home (34.6%).

The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Peyton Watson has made 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while on the road this year.

The slowest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.

Over the last 15 games, their opposition has snagged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz (retaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).

This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have attempted 25.2 free throws per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Peyton Watson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

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