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Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Peyton Watson has sunk 60.0% of his three-pointers over the last 13 games at home, 31.7% more than he's made from three overall this year at home.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 10thbest in in the league with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

This year, the other team has collected 10.0 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce additional opportunities for offense).

In contrast to last year's 45.7% rate, Peyton Watson's free-throw performance has surged this year to 60.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have posted 128.0 points per game (most in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive production.

The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.

In terms of getting to the foul line, the Nuggets's feeble 20.4 free throw attempts per game ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

This year, their opposition has attempted 27.6 foul shots per game (highest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

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