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Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 12/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-132/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Peyton Watson has made 55.8% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 28.2% more than he's made from three over the course of the year.

The Thunder have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Relative to last year's 45.7% clip, Peyton Watson's free-throw effectiveness has increased this year to 59.8%.

The matchup against Oklahoma is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Thunder are away from home (24th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Peyton Watson has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.

When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 11.0 points per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.

The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

This year, the other team has secured 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (retaining possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

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