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Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Peyton Watson has successfully made 50.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 23.8% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.

The matchup vs. Memphis is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Grizzlies are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5).

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Peyton Watson has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's tallied overall this year at home.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

With respect to drawing fouls, the Nuggets's subpar 20.7 free throw attempts per game comes in as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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