Peyton Watson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Peyton Watson

NBA · Player Props

Peyton Watson

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Peyton Watson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-205/+160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -205 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -205.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Peyton Watson has sunk 47.2% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 18.5% more than he's made in all games this season.
Peyton Watson has attempted 4.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the other team has shot for the 6th-lowest three rate in the league over the last 10 games at home (34.6%).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA away from their home court this year has been the Nuggets.
The slowest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 15 games, their opposition has snagged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz (retaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Peyton Watson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

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