Peyton Watson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Peyton Watson

NBA · Player Props

Peyton Watson

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 7:17 PM EST

Analysis

Peyton Watson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-230/+170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +175 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Peyton Watson has totaled 2.4 assists per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's totaled overall this year at home.
The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (turning over possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).
Peyton Watson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Peyton Watson has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this season at home.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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