Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has sunk 63.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 10.4% more than he's sunk overall this year.
Paul Reed has sunk 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 14.1% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
Paul Reed has averaged 25.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games playing at home, 6.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The 76ers have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paul Reed should see an increase in effectiveness for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Paul Reed has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the 76ers.
The 76ers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 6 games (the Detroit Pistons).

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