Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 10:07 PM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has successfully made 57.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.0% higher than he's made overall this year away from home.
Paul Reed has made 100.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 63.5% higher than he's made from downtown overall this year.
Paul Reed has tallied 23.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The 76ers will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Toronto Raptors).
The 76ers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Paul Reed has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).
As it relates to offense, the 76ers's subpar 102.7 points per game measures as the 2nd-weakest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The most sluggish pace road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the 76ers.
Paul Reed will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally worsens player production across the board.

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