Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 23, 2024 2:50 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has tallied 24.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.2 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to more plays for the Philadelphia 76ers.
Paul Reed has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
When it comes to drawing fouls, the Philadelphia 76ers's outstanding 24.4 free throws per game comes in as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Paul Reed has sunk just 52.0% of his shots from the field this year, significantly lower than his 59.1 rate last year.
Paul Reed has attempted 0.9 three-point shots per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the league.
The most sluggish pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Paul Reed will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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