Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has sunk 75.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 43.2% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season on his home court.
Paul Reed has been on the court for 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 11.1 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home.
The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies is a difficult one for field goal attempts; the other team has averaged the 6th-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (86.9).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the 76ers grade out 10thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Paul Reed has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 25.8% more than he's sunk overall this year playing at home.

Favors Under

Paul Reed has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.6 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.
While on the road and facing other starting Cs, Jaren Jackson Jr. places in the 10th percentile with only 1.2 treys attempted against him per game this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 76ers will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

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