Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has successfully made 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 13.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year on the road.
Paul Reed has tallied 25.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 6.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
The 76ers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While at home, the Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 59.1% clip, Paul Reed's field goal proficiency has decreased this season to 52.7%.
Out of all players in the NBA, Paul Reed lands in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year.
In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the 76ers.
The number of three-point shots scored against Jarrett Allen has been remarkably low (0.4 per game) when he is on his home court and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (14th percentile).
The 76ers have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.

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