Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has successfully made 4.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's converted overall this season without the home court advantage.
The number of shots from behind the three-point arc drained against Deandre Ayton has been remarkably high (1.1 per game) when he is playing at home and facing other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have brought down 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense).
Paul Reed has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 25.9% higher than he's sunk overall this year away from home.

Favors Under

Paul Reed has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (76th percentile).
The 76ers rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in regard to three-point attempts.
This matchup is a good one for scoring; opposing clubs have shot for the 2nd-highest field goal percentage in the NBA over the last 25 games (50.8%).
The 8th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Philadelphia 76ers.