Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 1, 2023

Updated May 1, 2023 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has made 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 33.3% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season while playing away from home.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road.
The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for threes; the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 27th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (0.6).
The Celtics have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to increase possessions for the 76ers.
Paul Reed has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 27.2% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Favors Under

Paul Reed has played 12.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Boston may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a measly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are playing at home (13th-least in the league).