Paul George Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has put up an impressive 5.8 defensive rebounds per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 5.4 defensive rebounds per game last season.
Paul George has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile.
The Clippers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 13 games (the Trail Blazers).
The Clippers check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paul George stands to get a boost in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George lands in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The LA Clippers have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Away from home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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