Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 13, 2024

Updated Dec 14, 2024 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 30.6 minutes per game this year.
The Philadelphia 76ers will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pacers).
When it comes to drawing fouls, the 76ers's superb 23.4 free throw attempts per game with the home court advantage comes in as the 9th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.
Paul George will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Paul George has made a measly 40.8% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a significant dropoff from his 46.5 rate last year.
Paul George has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (79th percentile).
In terms of offense, the Philadelphia 76ers's feeble 104.9 points per game playing at home measures as the fewest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Pacers is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting SFs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.9).
The most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year has been the 76ers.

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