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Paul George

Paul George Points
Player Prop - 12/6/2024

Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paul George has converted 45.8% of his 3-point attempts while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have logged 18.9 points per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Magic, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive output.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Orlando is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.7 foul shots per game this year when the Orlando Magic are the visiting squad (3rd-most in the NBA).

Paul George is expected to see an increase in performance in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paul George has converted just 40.1% of his field goals this year, quite a bit lower than his 46.5 rate last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George ranks in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.7 fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season.

When it comes to offense, the 76ers's subpar 105.2 points per game while playing at home rates fewest in the NBA this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from facing the 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Orlando Magic).

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