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Paul George

Paul George Points
Player Prop - 4/28/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Paul George rates in the 99th percentile for 3-pointers hit, averaging 3.3 per game this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Paul George comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 33.8 minutes per game this year.

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a strong matchup.

The 10th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Clippers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paul George has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this season.

The Clippers rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home in regard to 3-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are at home (3rd-least in the league).

Paul George will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

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