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Paul George

Paul George Points
Player Prop - 4/23/2024

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Paul George lands in the 96th percentile for shot attempts from downtown at home, averaging 7.6 per game this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 33.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

In terms of three-pointers, the Clippers's stellar 38.4% rate of drained threes comes in as the 4th-most in the NBA this year.

The 7th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.

The LA Clippers will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-quickest pace visiting offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paul George has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (93rd percentile).

Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have logged 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The LA Clippers check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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