Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Utah Jazz · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 6, 2024 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has successfully made 52.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 5.9% higher than he's made overall this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Paul George places in the 91st percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.1 minutes per game at home this year.
With respect to threes, the Clippers's fantastic 38.6% rate of converted threes settles in as the 4th-best in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 2.4 three-pointers per game (highest in the league) vs. the Jazz, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Jazz have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Clippers.

Favors Under

Paul George has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (93rd percentile).
The Clippers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Utah is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.0 free throws per game this year when the Utah Jazz are away from home (least in the NBA).

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