Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

Houston Rockets vs LA Clippers · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-119/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has registered 22.1 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 93rd percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Paul George comes in at the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, logging 8.3 per game this year.
Paul George has averaged 33.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 91st percentile.
The Clippers check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
The LA Clippers are expected to see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Rockets).

Favors Under

Paul George has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have shot 26.1% on three-pointers (14th-weakest in the league) against the Rockets, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The Clippers have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA as the away team this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have come down with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the Houston Rockets (preserving possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).

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