Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Paul George ranks in the 97th percentile for threes sunk at home, averaging 3.1 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
In terms of scoring, the Clippers's stellar 121.5 points per game measures as the 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have shot 45.0% on 3-pointers (27th-best in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, identifying this as a positive matchup.
This year, opposing squads have come down with 9.8 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (losing possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Paul George has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (94th percentile).
The 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.
The LA Clippers are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the 8th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 7thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Compared to last season's 4.6 clip, Paul George's foul shots sunk have declined this season to 3.4 per game.

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