Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 9:04 PM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has sunk 3.1 three-pointers per game on the road this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
Paul George has played 34.6 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have shot 46.7% on three-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, creating a positive matchup.
The LA Clippers will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Warriors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 9thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Paul George has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game away from home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The LA Clippers rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year.
The 7th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.1 foul shots per game this year when the Golden State Warriors are playing at home (10th-least in the league).

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