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Paul George

Paul George Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Paul George has attempted 20.6 shots per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Paul George has successfully made 4.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
  • Paul George has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
  • The LA Clippers rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Clippers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs since the start of last season (14.0).
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court.
  • The LA Clippers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game since the start of last season (15th-least in the NBA).
  • Paul George will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player performance for all stats.

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